Anybody want to speculate on 2023 F-150 pricing.

[Zengineer]

At the rate Ford was going in 2022MY, a truck ordered in May 2022 had an invoice price almost equal to the MSRP of the same truck ordered 10 months earlier....not quite but almost. I hope they use some restraint but with 2 months worth of custom order customers put on ice and every dealer wanting to restore inventory there will be hundreds a gigantic flood of orders going in next week. Ford knows they can always bring incentives back if they go too far with price increases and isn't likely to ignore the opportunity that high demand offers them.

I'm going to go out on a limb and predict 3% across the board over current 2022 and cross that "old MSRP<new invoice in less than 12 months" threshold They May reconfigure option packages to mask it but I suspect they will leave configurations alone and just bump prices.

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[Beef_Stew]

I agree with your hypothesis. My 22 went up $3200 in 5.5 months. (January order) I remember just a few years ago when price increases year to year were just in the hundreds of dollars and not thousands.

 

[ThyDayWalker]

Inflation is 9% since June 2021, and 1% up last month alone! 3% sounds well within the plausible range

 

[DarkSkyForever]

Prices might hold steady in the latter half of '23. Credit card utilization is up which is a general indicator of a coming economic downturn. Demand for new trucks might drop off.

 

[air2mag]

I just hope those of us that get rolled to 23my when our 22my orders aren’t built are price protected. From other posts it seems like Ford may not be doing this anymore.

 

[Donnelly713]

I hear order bank opens 7/18. has anyone heard whether there will be a 1,000 custom order rebate on 2023s yet?

 

[Zengineer]

I hear order bank opens 7/18. has anyone heard whether there will be a 1,000 custom order rebate on 2023s yet?

I don't know what would possibly motivate Ford to offer an incentive on a vehicle they can't make enough of as it is.

 

[Kodiak]

I just hope those of us that get rolled to 23my when our 22my orders aren’t built are price protected. From other posts it seems like Ford may not be doing this anymore.

I doubt you will be price protected if you roll into a 2023. It will probably be treated like a new order. However if this happens do not cancel your old order. You could get lucky and Ford will use your old order to expedite your 23 and maybe even throw you a PCO to cushion the blow. That information will be lost to Ford if you just cancel it yourself. If you get bumped go with the flow and let Ford tell you what to do. Good luck to all you later orders. I ordered in January and I may just make it.

 

[Pedaldude]

I don’t think that they will raise the base XL MSRP as much as current market conditions would suggest, though they might start making it more expensive for options on the lower trims; which they have already been doing.

Ford will hide the bulk of their increased costs in the packages and options. Though even more so than now and in the past.

It’s also a pretty good guess that the Superduty will crack six figures.

It could all depend on what the other manufacturers do, the last year has shown that they don’t need to crank out as many trucks as they can make and that good money can still be made with less production.

Used trucks are still being sold for silly prices and unless people start defaulting on their loans, they aren’t going to be going down by much. Since quite a few people overpaid; many that paid more than they should will be stuck with their trucks longer, further reducing supply of used trucks.

So for those who need a truck, brand new will be the most sensible option, unless gas hits $20 a gallon and then the 50% of truck owners who don’t need a truck start dumping them for EVs, hybrids and the bus. Then all bets are off!

 

[Zengineer]

I know as forum members we are at the far end of the F150 buyer spectrum with our big heavy aftermarket tires, air dam removals and leveling but I don't think gas prices will do much to slow fullbsize truck demand. And while new truck availability will improve it comes with significantly inflated prices. Given all that I doubt used truck prices will drop like a rock.

 

[2Lazy2P]

I try to avoid speculation, but in this one instance I will say, with assurance, that prices will be higher than MY22.

 

[Calson]

To buy my 2022 truck two months ago I had to pay a $5,000 premium to the dealer. This time next year this is not likely to be the case and you should be able to buy a truck with only the packages you actually want.

 

[F8ksn8k]

I ordered my 22 Lariat March 4. I received an email last week stating it will be built the week of Aug 22nd. The VIN number indicates it will be made in Dearborn as a 2023 "N" is the 10th digit. I bought using A plan. Everthing else I received states "your 2022 f150 lariat".... just found this interesting.

 

[jz777]

I ordered my 22 Lariat March 4. I received an email last week stating it will be built the week of Aug 22nd. The VIN number indicates it will be made in Dearborn as a 2023 "N" is the 10th digit. I bought using A plan. Everthing else I received states "your 2022 f150 lariat".... just found this interesting.

N indicates 2022 MY. My 10th digit is an N on my 2022 delivered in April. 2023 F-150 production is supposed to begin in the October timeframe. https://www.alldata.com/us/en/support/repair-collision/article/vin-to-year-chart

 

[GEN14OWNER]

There are three “21” F150s for sale online right now like mine only with less options, more mileage and asking $1K MORE than what I paid last November.

Is it going to “stay” that way?

Don’t know, don’t care, not selling.

But I don’t see anything changing anytime soon.

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